Pre-tourney Rankings
Patriot League
2015-16


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
171 Bucknell 0.0%   16 - 13 14 - 4 16 - 13 14 - 4 -0.6      0.0 170 -0.7 188 77.1 49 -3.0 208 +0.7 1
193 Lehigh 0.0%   16 - 15 13 - 5 16 - 15 13 - 5 -2.0      -0.3 179 -1.7 213 69.9 177 -3.9 222 -0.8 2
212 Navy 0.0%   18 - 14 9 - 9 18 - 14 9 - 9 -3.3      -3.8 279 +0.6 162 63.4 327 -3.4 215 -6.4 7
247 Boston University 0.0%   17 - 14 11 - 7 17 - 14 11 - 7 -4.9      -2.2 223 -2.6 243 75.8 60 -3.6 218 -3.4 3
251 Army 0.0%   18 - 13 9 - 9 18 - 13 9 - 9 -5.5      -3.5 263 -1.9 222 78.6 25 -3.9 223 -6.1 6
256 Colgate 0.0%   12 - 17 9 - 9 12 - 17 9 - 9 -5.8      -0.8 193 -5.0 303 63.9 315 -6.4 263 -6.0 5
286 Holy Cross 100.0%   16   14 - 19 5 - 13 14 - 19 5 - 13 -8.0      -5.3 306 -2.7 245 61.5 338 -6.7 268 -11.6 9
294 Loyola Maryland 0.0%   8 - 21 8 - 10 8 - 21 8 - 10 -8.8      -2.9 243 -5.9 315 68.0 230 -9.9 306 -7.1 8
311 American 0.0%   12 - 19 9 - 9 12 - 19 9 - 9 -10.0      -8.2 334 -1.8 217 56.7 349 -6.6 265 -5.6 4
324 Lafayette 0.0%   6 - 24 3 - 15 6 - 24 3 - 15 -11.5      -3.6 264 -7.9 341 73.0 97 -12.7 327 -14.8 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Bucknell 1.0 100.0
Lehigh 2.0 100.0
Navy 4.0 100.0
Boston University 3.0 100.0
Army 4.0 100.0
Colgate 4.0 100.0
Holy Cross 9.0 100.0
Loyola Maryland 8.0 100.0
American 4.0 100.0
Lafayette 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Bucknell 14 - 4 100.0
Lehigh 13 - 5 100.0
Navy 9 - 9 100.0
Boston University 11 - 7 100.0
Army 9 - 9 100.0
Colgate 9 - 9 100.0
Holy Cross 5 - 13 100.0
Loyola Maryland 8 - 10 100.0
American 9 - 9 100.0
Lafayette 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Bucknell 100.0% 100.0
Lehigh
Navy
Boston University
Army
Colgate
Holy Cross
Loyola Maryland
American
Lafayette


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Bucknell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lehigh 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Navy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Boston University 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Army 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Colgate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Holy Cross 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   100.0
Loyola Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
American 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lafayette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Bucknell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lehigh 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Navy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Boston University 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Army 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Colgate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Holy Cross 100.0% 100.0% 41.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
American 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lafayette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 41.2% 0.4 58.8 41.2
2nd Round 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0